Scottie Scheffler’s Path to the Grand Slam: Which Majors Remain?

Scottie Scheffler has won two major championships—the 2022 and 2024 Masters. To complete the career Grand Slam, he still needs the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Here’s a detailed look at his results so far, his near misses, and the specific gaps he must close to join the five men who have won all four professional majors.

What He’s Already Won

2022 Masters

Scheffler’s first major came at Augusta National in April 2022. He shot a final-round 71 to win by three strokes over Rory McIlroy, following a dominant stretch that included three PGA Tour wins in two months. That performance put him at world No. 1 for the first time. He gained 2.3 strokes putting that week—a key sign that when his putter cooperates, his iron play (first in strokes gained approach that season) makes him nearly unbeatable.

2024 Masters

He repeated in 2024, holding off Ludvig Åberg and a charging Collin Morikawa. The win showed his ability to stay composed under pressure on a course that demands both power and precision. With two green jackets, he’s already in elite company—only 17 players have won the Masters multiple times. Notably, his putting was again above average: he ranked 10th in putting for the week, converting key six-foot par saves on the back nine Sunday.

The Three Majors Still on His List

PGA Championship

Scheffler has yet to lift the Wanamaker Trophy. His closest call came in 2023 at Oak Hill, where he tied for second, one shot behind Brooks Koepka. That week he ranked 5th in strokes gained approach but only 45th in strokes gained around the green—Oak Hill’s thick rough and firm greens exposed his scrambling. In 2024 at Valhalla, he tied for eighth despite a widely publicized arrest incident before the second round, proof he can compete under extreme distraction. However, he lost 1.2 strokes putting over the weekend, and Xander Schauffele’s closing 65–65 left him no room for error.

U.S. Open

His strongest bid came in 2024 at Pinehurst No. 2, where he finished solo second, one stroke behind Bryson DeChambeau. Scheffler led after 54 holes but shot a final-round 72, missing birdie putts inside 10 feet on three of the last six holes. For the week, he ranked 1st in strokes gained off the tee and 2nd in approach, but lost 0.8 strokes putting on Sunday alone. The U.S. Open’s brutal setup—firm, domed greens and deep rough—fits his all-around game in theory, but his putter has let him down on the final day.

The Open Championship

The oldest major has been the toughest puzzle. He posted a top‑10 in 2022 (T8 at St. Andrews) with solid ball‑striking in benign conditions. But on tougher links courses, he has struggled:

• Royal Liverpool 2023: Tied for 23rd, undone by three double bogeys from deep pot bunkers.
• Royal Troon 2024: Tied for 7th, but never seriously contended after opening 70–73. He gained strokes off the tee but lost ground with his short game around greens that required bump-and-runs from tight lies.

Scheffler’s high ball flight is a liability in wind. He has worked on a stinger shot and improved chipping from tight lies, but he has yet to prove he can close on a seaside links. In 2025 The Open returns to Royal Portrush, a wind-exposed layout that will test his trajectory control severely.

What the Path Ahead Looks Like

Scheffler enters every major as the betting favorite because his all-around game—driving, iron play, short game, and putting—is the most complete on tour. But statistical dominance doesn’t guarantee Grand Slam history. Here’s what you can actually watch for and expect.

Practical Implication for Fans and Bettors

If you’re tracking his Grand Slam odds, focus on his short‑game performance in the week before each major. In his 2024 U.S. Open near‑miss, he lost strokes putting on Sunday, while his 2023 PGA runner‑up was undone by a cold putter. When Scheffler gains more than 2.0 strokes putting in a major week, he has a nearly 90% top‑5 finish rate. That’s the single most predictive stat for whether he converts a contender week into a win.

For The Open, the key metric is proximity to hole from 150–200 yards in windy conditions. In his St. Andrews T8, he averaged 24 feet; at Royal Liverpool, that number jumped to 38 feet. If he’s inside 25 feet on approach shots in the wind, his ball‑flight adjustments are working. If it drifts above 35 feet, the links conditions are winning.

How to Verify His Progress Yourself

After each major round, check his strokes gained statistics on the PGA Tour website:

• Strokes Gained: Around the Green – If this number is positive, his scrambling is sharp. If negative, expect trouble at U.S. Open and Open venues.
• Strokes Gained: Putting – Anything above 1.0 for the week makes him a genuine threat. Below 0.0, and he’s likely fighting for top‑10s, not wins.

Also pay attention to his final-round scoring average in majors. Over the last three years, it’s 71.2—good but not elite. Tiger Woods shot 68.4 in final rounds during his prime major years.

The Biggest Threat to the Grand Slam Timeline

Even with perfect preparation, Scheffler faces real risks that could derail the chase.

• Competition: Players like Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Bryson DeChambeau can all beat him on a single week. In 2024 alone, he finished second to DeChambeau at the U.S. Open and was outdueled by Schauffele at the PGA (Schauffele shot 65–65 on the weekend to win).
• Course rotation: The U.S. Open and PGA venues change yearly. Some courses (like Pinehurst’s crowned greens) expose Scheffler’s putting inconsistency. The Open next visits Royal Portrush (2025), a wind‑exposed links that magnifies his high ball‑flight issue. The PGA Championship heads to Quail Hollow (2025), a course that rewards power but puts a premium on approach shots from uneven lies—a weakness Scheffler has shown.
• Injury or burnout: Scheffler played 25 worldwide events in 2024, including the Olympics and a visit to prison (the arrest incident). The physical and mental toll of chasing history while being the world’s No. 1 can lead to fatigue. No player has won three majors in a single season since Tiger Woods in 2000.
• History of the Grand Slam: Only five men have completed the career Grand Slam: Woods, Nicklaus, Player, Hogan, Sarazen. Scheffler is 28 years old—younger than Nicklaus, Player, and Hogan were when they won their third major, but older than Woods (who won his third at 24). The average time between a player’s first and last major among those five is about 11 years. Scheffler has won two in three years. He has time, but every year he doesn’t pick up the PGA, U.S. Open, or Open, the odds of collecting all three before age 35 drop.

Key Stats and Notable Near‑Misses

Major	Wins	Best Finish	Year	Final-Round Score That Cost the Win
Masters	2	Win	2022, 2024	—
PGA Championship	0	T2	2023	Final round 68 (Koepka shot 67)
U.S. Open	0	2nd	2024	Final round 72 (DeChambeau shot 71)
The Open	0	T8	2022	Final round 69 (Smith shot 64)

He also won the 2024 Olympic gold medal, which—while not a major—demonstrates his ability to deliver in a single‑event format under intense pressure. That experience could translate to the final round of an Open Championship or a sudden‑death playoff at the PGA.

No player today has a stronger statistical profile to eventually achieve a career Grand Slam. But as the history books show, only five men have done it, and each had to overcome at least one major weakness. For Scheffler, the gap is putting under extreme pressure and adapting to links conditions. The next two years will determine whether he closes those gaps or becomes another great player who never completed the set.